March 6th, according to Coinbob Popular Address Monitoring, WTI crude oil rose more than $82 in a short time during intraday trading, hitting a recent high and closing at $79.4, Hyperliquid witnesses continued long and short game on CL (WTI crude oil mapping contract).An address starting with 0xf4b built a 20x leveraged long position on CL before the U.S. stock market opening yesterday, with a peak position size reaching $14.17 million. The address later partially closed its position after the oil price surged above $81 this morning, with an average closing price of around $81.2, realizing a profit of about $470,000.It currently still holds a 20x leveraged long position on CL, with a position size of $5.05 million, an unrealized profit of $150,000 (38%), and an average price of $76.9. It remains the largest long position holder on-chain for CL.It is reported that this address has shorted CL (WTI crude oil) and EWY (Korean ETF) five times recently. After being quiet in mid-February, it has become active again recently, with a weekly profit of $1.51 million, and the current account funds have risen to $1.95 million.

March 2nd. Due to the Middle East war driving up oil prices and sparking inflation concerns, the currency market on Monday scaled back bets on rate cuts in the U.S., UK, and Eurozone. The possibility of the Fed cutting rates three times in 2026 has dropped from nearly 50% last week to 20%. Traders no longer anticipate the Bank of England cutting rates three times this year and have reduced the probability of a rate cut in March from over 80% to 60%. The probability of a rate cut by the ECB this year has halved, pricing in only a 5-basis-point rate cut. The yield rise of two-year government bonds, most sensitive to monetary policy changes, in the U.S., UK, and Germany has outpaced long-term yields. Driven by the largest surge in Brent crude oil prices in four years, inflation indicators have surged significantly.Laura Cooper, Global Investment Strategist and Head of Macro Credit at Nuveen Investments, said: "The ongoing rise in oil prices will have a significant pass-through effect on the global economic and inflation path. A more prolonged energy pulse could complicate the disinflation process and delay further rate cuts." (FXStreet)

March 2nd, according to DefiLlama data, in the past 24 hours, the data changes in mainstream Perp DEXs were relatively small. The trading volume and TVL of Hyperliquid both fluctuated around $5 billion, with Aster experiencing a significant increase in trading volume, currently ranking second. The current ranking of major Perp DEXs by trading volume is as follows:Hyperliquid 24-hour trading volume is around $51.2 billion, TVL is around $42.5 billion, and open interest volume is around $54.7 billion;Aster 24-hour trading volume is around $30.6 billion, TVL is around $10.2 billion, and open interest volume is around $17.8 billion;Lighter 24-hour trading volume is around $25.9 billion, TVL is around $8.65 billion, and open interest volume is around $7.23 billion;EdgeX 24-hour trading volume is around $21.9 billion, TVL is around $1.78 billion, and open interest volume is around $10.1 billion;Apex 24-hour trading volume is around $12.5 billion, TVL is around $38.28 million, and open interest volume is around $1.08 billion;Pacifica 24-hour trading volume is around $2.11 billion, TVL is around $36.30 million, and open interest volume is around $63.67 million.

March 2nd. On March 2nd local time, the capital of Iran, Tehran, was attacked, with multiple explosions occurring in several areas including the city center. The explosions took place in areas such as Tajrish, Ferdowsi Square, and the location of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs Security.Additionally, around 2 PM local time on the 2nd, an explosion also occurred in the area where the Iranian Ministry of Defense is located.

March 2nd, Israeli Defense Forces: Under the guidance of Israeli intelligence, the Israeli Air Force has begun additional large-scale strikes on Iranian regime targets in the Tehran core area. (IG)

March 2nd. Last Saturday, the cryptocurrency market once again tested lower levels due to the Middle East conflict. QCP Capital stated that the initial drop triggered approximately $300 million in long liquidations, but the deleveraging scale was relatively limited, indicating that the market had reduced its positions before the recent volatility.Laser Digital indicated that the US stock market rebounded from its lows, the US dollar and oil prices gave back early gains, and Bitcoin also reclaimed lost territory. Traders are betting that the economic impact will be limited unless the energy supply route remains disrupted.Regarding crypto options, the short-term reaction was strong but the long-term impact was limited. QCP mentioned that as the conflict escalated, investors were observed increasing their long exposure for late March, indicating that some traders are positioning for a rebound after consecutive months of weak performance.Macro-driven cautious sentiment is equally important as geopolitical factors. XS.com's Senior Market Analyst Linh Tran stated that as the market reevaluates the pace of Fed policy easing, the opportunity cost of holding non-yield assets remains high, leading Bitcoin to trade "cautiously" around $66,000 to $67,000. Geopolitical shocks often drive short-term volatility rather than reshaping Bitcoin's macro trend.Stephen Coltman, Head of Macro at 21Shares, emphasized the inflation transmission path, pointing out that historically, wars have had inflationary effects, lifting commodity prices and widening fiscal deficits. This could complicate the interest rate outlook during the initial turbulence of risk assets.

March 2, according to official sources, Binance will open BNB/USD, ETH/USD, and SOL/USD spot trading pairs on March 3, 2026 at 16:00 (Beijing Time).

March 2nd. German Foreign Minister Maas stated on March 2nd local time that Germany will not participate in any military action against Iran.Furthermore, Minister Maas added that if German Bundeswehr forces in the Middle East are attacked, they can defend themselves. However, Germany will not take any further action. Currently, some German Bundeswehr troops are stationed in Jordan and Iraq.

March 2nd, according to Onchain lens monitoring, BlackRock has deposited 1,134 BTC to Coinbase in the past 15 minutes, worth about $74.95 million, and may continue to deposit more.

March 2nd. According to The Wall Street Journal, crypto investor Anthony Pompliano's publicly traded Bitcoin treasury company ProCap Financial is actively buying back shares to narrow the discount to net asset value while also purchasing an additional 450 bitcoins.