December 14th, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale has fully closed its 7x ETH long position, losing over $3.34 million.Overall, the whale has lost over $3.62 million.

December 14th, Glassnode co-founder Negentropic wrote, "The market is not afraid of tightening (rate hikes), but is afraid of uncertainty. The Bank of Japan's policy normalization has brought a clear expectation to the global funding environment, even though leverage will be under pressure in the short term.Yen carry trades have significantly contracted, and volatility implies opportunity. Bitcoin often strengthens after policy pressure is released, rather than before. With reduced chaos, signals are strengthened. This seems to be preparing for asymmetric upside risk."

December 14th, the probability of the prediction "Bitcoin will once again rise to $100,000 this year" on Polymarket is currently 25%. Furthermore, the probability of it rising to $110,000 again is currently 4%, and the probability of dropping below $80,000 is currently 22%.

December 14, according to Alternative data, today's cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index dropped to 21 (yesterday was 23), and the market is still in a state of "extreme fear".Note: The Fear Index threshold is 0-100, including indicators: Volatility (25%) + Market Volume (25%) + Social Media Sentiment (15%) + Market Surveys (15%) + Bitcoin's Dominance (10%) + Google Trends (10%).

December 14th, On-chain data analyst Murphy stated that approximately $23.8 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire on December 26th, covering quarterly options, yearly options, and large-scale structured products. This implies that the BTC derivatives market will experience a "concentrated risk exposure clearing and repricing" at the end of the year, where the price may be structurally constrained before expiration but uncertainty will increase post-expiration.From a data perspective, there is a significant amount of Open Interest (OI) stacking at the two closest positions to the current BTC spot price, which are: Put at $85,000: 14,674 BTC and Call at $100,000: 18,116 BTC. In terms of scale, this is not retail behavior but rather high-level long-term funds, most likely entities holding a large amount of BTC spot, such as ETF hedging desks, BTC treasury companies, large family offices, and so on.The Put at a $85,000 strike price is the buyer's "active party," reflecting a strong downside risk hedging demand in the market at that price level. Similarly, the significant Call OI stacking at a $100,000 strike price is not fundamentally "the market being bullish at this level," but rather long-term funds willing to relinquish upside potential at that price level in exchange for current certainty of cash flow and overall risk control. By buying Puts below and selling Calls above, the distribution of BTC returns is compressed within a tolerable range. With OI already highly formed, this $85,000–$100,000 option corridor will structurally influence the BTC price before December 26th, with "implicit upward suppression, passive buffering downward, and fluctuation in the middle range."

December 14th. Wang Yongli, former Vice President of a Chinese bank, stated in an article on WeChat Official Account that since May 2025, the United States and Hong Kong, China have been actively promoting stablecoin and cryptocurrency (digital asset) legislation. The United States has also been pushing legislation to ban the issuance of a digital dollar, triggering a global surge in stablecoin and cryptocurrency legislation and development. This has sparked a debate in China on whether it should vigorously promote RMB stablecoin legislation and development, as well as whether to further advance the development of the digital RMB. Subsequently, the People's Bank of China announced that it would optimize the positioning of the digital RMB in the currency hierarchy, further improve the digital RMB management system, and actively promote the development of the digital RMB. On November 28th, the People's Bank of China and 13 other departments jointly held a "Coordination Mechanism Meeting to Combat Virtual Currency Trading Speculation," clarifying that stablecoins are a form of virtual currency, emphasizing the continued adherence to the prohibitive policy on virtual currency, and the ongoing crackdown on virtual currency-related illegal financial activities. Therefore, China is resolutely promoting the development of the digital RMB, and the policy orientation of decisively curbing virtual currency has been fully determined.Wang Yongli also pointed out that it is necessary to accelerate the innovative development of the digital RMB and promote its widespread domestic and international use, to quickly establish its unique advantage in international payments, and to follow the path of Chinese success in digital currency development.

December 13th, according to CoinDesk, industry insiders pointed out that the machine learning in the cryptocurrency trading field has not yet experienced a comprehensive popularization stage similar to the "iPhone moment," but AI-driven automated trading agents are rapidly approaching this tipping point. With the improvement of algorithm customization and reinforcement learning capabilities, a new generation of AI trading models is no longer simply pursuing absolute profit and loss (P&L), but is introducing risk-adjusted metrics such as Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown, and Value at Risk (VaR) to dynamically balance risk and return in different market conditions.Michael Sena, Chief Marketing Officer of Recall Labs, stated that in recent AI trading competitions, specially customized and optimized trading agents significantly outperformed general large models, with the latter only slightly outperforming the market when executing trades autonomously. The results show that dedicated trading agents with additional logic, reasoning, and data sources are gradually surpassing basic models.However, the "democratization" of AI trading has also raised concerns about whether Alpha advantage will be quickly eroded. Sena pointed out that those who can truly benefit in the long run will still be those who have the resources to develop proprietary, specialized tools. The most promising form in the future may be an "intelligent investment portfolio manager" driven by AI but still allowing users to set strategy preferences and risk parameters.

December 13th, according to Hyperinsight monitoring, the "BTC OG Insider Whale" address has accumulated a unrealized loss of over 12 million USD, including:· 5x long 175,595 ETH, entry price $3173.34, liquidation price $1943.28, unrealized loss $9.77 million;· 5x long 1000 BTC, entry price $91,506.7, unrealized loss $1.31 million;· 20x long 25,000 SOL, entry price $137.53, unrealized loss $1.05 million.

December 13th, according to HyperInsight monitoring, the "Big Brother Whale" Huang Licheng's address holds a long position of 3,875 ETH, currently with a unrealized loss of over $300,000. The opening price was $3,191.89, and the liquidation price is $3,053.81.The address has suffered a weekly loss of $1.55 million and a monthly loss of $6.31 million.

December 13th, according to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, there was a total of $311 million in liquidations across the entire network, with $265 million in long liquidations and $45.5184 million in short liquidations.In the past 24 hours, a total of 101,384 people were liquidated globally, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Hyperliquid - ETH-USD worth $5.6806 million.