Analysis: Extreme Narrative Predicting the Imminent Burst of the "AI Bubble" Expected to Be Unfounded


November 24th. According to a CITIC Securities research report, the stock market downturn on November 20th was judged to be driven by macro factors, rather than panic selling triggered by the bursting of an AI bubble. The main reason for this pullback was the September non-farm payroll data exceeding expectations, combined with hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, which led to profit-taking in the market. In light of the marginal weakening of the US labor market, the December Fed interest rate meeting may mark the peak of the "hawkish panic" sentiment, after which the market's focus may shift to the nomination game around the new Fed chairman appointed by President Trump.The fundamental outlook of the AI sector remains solid, with Token index-level growth, ongoing supply chain bottlenecks, strong cash flow from the four tech giants, and a robust balance sheet. It is expected that the extreme narrative of the "AI bubble" bursting in the short term will be difficult to materialize. (FX678)